Hash Rate Spike Relates to BTC Price, but Halving Throws Miners Off Their Game

After Bitcoin’s (BTC) network hashrate dropped significantly on March 26, Premier Currency hashrates increased by at least 33%. This increase occurred between April 4th and April 6th at 85-91 per second. It exploded from Exa Hash to about 122 EH. / s, depending on different data sources. Thus, this has thrown off Bitcoin Miners.

Read more: Bitcoin Cash Halving: Miners Switching to Bitcoin?

Historically, Bitcoin’s native hash rate and overall price are very closely related, with the two values ​showing a strong correlation of 0.77. This is because the higher the hash rate, the more it would cost for  a malicious third-party attack. This virtue of decentralization is one of the key aspects that gives Bitcoin immeasurable value.

That said, the value of Bitcoin isn’t going to rise significantly this time around due to the above-mentioned spike in hashrates. Also, flagship crypto assets are only up 0.95% from April 4th to April 6th. Ashu Swami, Digital Asset Marketplace Apifiny, said that Bitcoin’s hashrate is always following that price. This is because the index is directly proportional to the currency value. He added that “there is always a bit of lag,” explaining further:

“As in this case, the hashrate may have recovered faster than the price because the hashrate didn’t fall a month ago. Miners’ inventory is already in the rack, it was only turned off. When the price of BTC started to rise, the mining equipment was immediately turned on. If the gap between those events was longer, it would be accompanied by damage / destruction of equipment and hashing. Rate recovery is not very fast. “

Connor Abendschein, a crypto-analyst for digital asset data, stated that some prominent miners purposely reduce the hash rate to reduce the mining difficulty and then bring the rig back online to get Bitcoin faster during the current mining cycle.

Abendschein also noted that although the rise in Bitcoin prices may have been modest, the value of the currency has soared by about 8% since April 4. In addition, there are many factors that influence the price of the bitrate, and hashrate is just one of many variables. Also, Bitcoin has been strongly correlated with many traditional stocks over the last few weeks and could have a significant impact on digital currency prices.

A closer look at the matter

Bitcoin Price

Bitcoin’s hash rate represents the total computational resources spent on various bitcoin mining tasks. As for why Bitcoin’s hashrate dropped in March. Ashish Singhal said it was due to an ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. The global economy was hit hard and many miners were forced to shut down completely or partially.

Singhal also noted that China, which accounts for more than 60% of the world’s mining activity, forced the crypto community to reduce its digital footprint during the recent blockade. In Sinhal’s view, another reason for the decline could be that many miners have temporarily interrupted their day-to-day activities in order to upgrade and prepare for the half of Bitcoin scheduled for May.

Max Sklar, an engineer at Foursquare, told that, contrary to popular belief, it’s a hash rate that usually follows the price of Bitcoin, not the other way around. In this regard, he hinted at Bitcoin’s price collapse last month, after which the currency’s hash rate declined fairly rapidly. In his view, this correlation exists because Bitcoin’s value is a very good indicator of minor returns. He can also conclude that when the hash rate moves independently of the price of Bitcoin, it is caused by changes in cost, not revenue.

Igor Runets, CEO of BitRiver, a colocation service provider for bitcoin mining in Eastern Europe, said Igor Runets on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on bitcoin hashrates. Transportation mitigation and other restrictions in China enacted by.

The correlation between Bitcoin’s hash rate, its value and miner revenue

Experts believe that long-term prospects need to be considered when determining the impact of hashrate spikes / drops on Bitcoin’s value and its overall mining revenue. For example, Runets emphasized that people need more time to order, receive, and finally plug in their mining rig after the price of Bitcoin has changed dramatically.

He added that many of the mining machines ordered by January’s Lunar New Year only arrived at their final destination this week, due to various transportation restrictions imposed by the outbreak of COVID-19.

Jason Wu, CEO of DeFiner, a blockchain-based lending platform, said Bitcoin price is a major factor in Bitcoin’s hash rate. He further states that all price changes related to Bitcoin tends to have a direct impact on income. Also, the amount of Bitcoin mined per unit cost has a clear impact on minor revenues, adding:

“Difficulty adjustment logic has the effect of delaying for about two weeks. This is all true when the difficulty of mining new blocks is stable.”

However, if the mining difficulty is significantly adjusted, the equation seems to change dramatically. It will be the main driver for bitcoin hashrate changes. In this situation, miners using energy inefficient mining equipment will have a positive gross margin. Wu pointed out:

“The miners need to restart these machines, so they increase the BTC hash rate. This is why the recently increased hash rate is not correlated with a significant increase in BTC price. The increase was primarily due to the reduced difficulty of mining on March 26.

The road ahead for Bitcoin

As uncertainties around the global financial sector continue to rise, many experts say that the crypto industry is heading to the bitcoin bull market, especially as global central banks continue to expand their existing cash supply streams. I think there is a possibility.

Matthew Dive, Bitcoin Tracker and Cryptocurrency Index Fund Provider, discusses where Bitcoin seems to be heading for this latest hashrate increase. Bitcoin, who smashed the $ 7,200 handlebar will probably continue on the path to new heights. “This is a sure sign of the resilience of the crypto industry and BTC’s appeal to investors at this point when the traditional market remains very volatile.”